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5 Private Equity Predictions for 2026

For private equity investors, 2026 is going to be a good year. Financing conditions are stabilizing, interest rates are decreasing, and valuations are beginning to reset. Further, these firms are moving to growth-at-any-cost strategies, deeper diligence, and more disciplined risk underwriting. Here’s a high-level look at a few things you can expect.

PE firms thrive despite policy and market uncertainty. Driven by shifting tariffs, interest-rate cycles, and election-year fiscal debates, 2025 was certainly a challenge. This year, many firms will re-enter the market and hit the ground running with greater conviction, supported by stronger diligence, scenario modeling, and operational planning. A few tactics include doubling down on operational risk management at the outset; leveraging advanced technologies to improve transparency and accuracy, specifically in terms of finance, tax, and regulatory compliance; and diversifying portfolios across sectors, geographies, and business models.

In 2026, deal volume and value will appreciate. This prediction is based on declining borrowing costs and uncertainty around tariffs declining. Leading the acceleration are mega funds and middle-market managers with larger funds driving growth in deal value. But strategic buyers will also play a defining role in this escalation. According to a survey by BDO, 43 percent of fund managers say most competition for deals will come from strategic acquirers. Here’s why: Their ability to pay higher prices, driven by operational synergies and stronger balance sheets, will intensify pressure on PE funds on the buy side. Consequently, this creates more favorable exit conditions for PE funds looking to sell assets.

PE is betting on AI, big-time. Firms are making sizable investments in industries that are the backbone of AI transformation, including data centers, energy producersand network hardware suppliers. While these categories are capital-intensive and tap into measurable, long-term market demand, PE’s interest in AI expands beyond sector strategy and deal sourcing, as firms are looking at how to leverage AI not only for fund and portfolio company management, but also the investment life cycle (due diligence, fraud detection, standardized reporting), which improves the way decisions are made. Good news for investors, indeed.

Valuations will remain high for top-tier deals. Primarily, this isdriven by firms willing to pay premiums for companies considered resilient and/or strategically essential. Common features these businesses share are predictable cash flows, defensible business models, and a position in sectors with secular growth, such as AI, infrastructure, or technology-driven industries. Why? They’re better equipped to withstand macroeconomic volatility compared with other kinds of investments.

Lessons were learned from the 2021 buying frenzy. This eventful year was comprised of abundant liquidity, low interest rates, and pent-up post-pandemic demand, which led to aggressive dealmaking. Now that macro-conditions have shifted, those 2021 deals are struggling to perform. This year, fund managers are expected to learn from the dynamics of years past and recalibrate their strategies, looking more closely at valuations and focusing on fewer but high-quality deals. This builds greater flexibility for exit planning, whether it’s traditional sponsor-to-sponsor, strategic sales, or IPO pathways. For the private equity investors, 2026 might well supersede the revenue-rich dynamic of 2021.

These are a few of the variables that will affect the private equity market. That said, success will most likely depend less on timing markets and more on being operationally prepared to seize the lucrative, high-quality opportunities when they arise.

Sources

https://www.bdo.com/insights/industries/private-equity/2026-private-equity-predictions#:~:text=In%202026%2C%20many%20firms%20will,elevated%20relative%20to%20historical%20norms

Scam-Proof Guidelines for Wiring Money

Wiring money is like sending cash: Once you’ve sent it, it’s gone. It is very difficult to retrieve – in fact, more difficult than recovering physical dollar bills.

For businesses, always call the recipient to verify ACH details before sending; this is required by law in 50 states. This law does not require calling, but if the sender’s or recipient’s email is hacked, calling will help prevent the hacker from changing ACH details in a hacked email account.

If wire fraud takes place due to a security breach, such as a hacker infiltrating your account and initiating a wire transfer, you may have protection. Reputable financial institutions will generally cover your losses in the case of a cyber attack. Recoverability is dependent, however, on whether the wire was properly authorized or unauthorized and the payment type (wire vs. ACH). However, if you fall for a scam and initiate the wire transfer yourself, you’re probably out of luck.

Another scenario is having an incorrect address or account number in your wire transfer instructions. For example, say you want to send a large sum of money to your lender to pay off your mortgage. It’s a good idea to contact the institution directly (by phone or in person) and ask them to tell you where to send your wire transfer to match it with the printed instructions you may have received. Always proofread the wire transfer instructions carefully.

Should you accidentally transpose the numbers in a wire transfer, you could lose that money. If you contact your bank immediately to report the error, they may be able to recall the funds. However, if the recipient has already accepted the transfer, particularly if they have transferred the money elsewhere, it is almost impossible to recover.

Remember, wire transfers settle quickly and are typically irreversible once accepted. That is why they are one of the prime targets for cybercriminals. If you are unfamiliar with the person or institution where you are wiring money, research them first to confirm their identity and see if there are any complaints or red flags associated with the entity. If you had no reason to initiate the wire transfer before being contacted, you should be especially suspicious. Be extremely skeptical of unsolicited urgent requests, especially when instructions change, or you can’t verify independently

The following are some common scams perpetuated today.

Bank Fraud

Your bank or investment firm calls you directly to alert you to a possible scam; someone is attempting to hack into your account and steal your money. They may even verify your account with details they have obtained – such as your name, address, and perhaps even your Social Security and account numbers. Rather than an affirmation of their legitimacy, this should be a red flag. First of all, no legitimate financial institution or government agency would relay this information over the phone. Second, a fraudster may tell you the best way to block the potential hack is to open a new account and transfer your money there. This is a red flag. Third, the scammer may insist that time is of the essence – you must act immediately before your money is stolen.

If you get a call like this, hang up and either call (the number on your statement or debit/credit card) or visit your local bank branch to inquire about the call. Chances are good that the bank will confirm there is no breach and that your account is safe.

Dating Apps

Dating apps are the 21st-century version of blind dates. According to Statista, more than 60 million Americans used dating apps in 2024. Instead of meeting organically in a bar or at a party, users peruse dating profiles to find a prospective mate. Unfortunately, these platforms are rife with money-seeking predators – and they can be very patient.

Many online relationship predators interact for months before the scammer mentions that he or she is having money trouble. They may even wait for their paramour to offer money to help them out. Remember that the red flags apply – you didn’t initiate the need. The need for funds should never be immediate. You should research and verify the legitimacy of any person who would agree to accept money from someone they met online. Remember, once you send money, you may never hear from that person again. Or they may continue to interact, but you could get another request for funds a little further down the road.

One way to detect a dating app fraudster is by noticing clues that they are not who they claim to be. For example, many scammers live in other countries. They may not be familiar with common local interests in the town or city where they say they are from. Or, you may notice unusual grammar or phrasing in their communications, indicating English is not their native language.

The Friend or Relative Scam

One of the most heart-rending scams is when a person – often a senior citizen – is asked by a struggling friend or family member to send money. For example, a grandchild away at college who says she doesn’t want her parents to know she needs money. Pulling at the heartstrings, paired with aging cognitive decline, is a recipe for wire transfer fraud. It’s a good idea to establish a “family password” with which to verify proof of identity for suspicious scenarios. Also, call the family member or friend back at a known number for verification before sending money.

Investment Scam

The too-good-to-be-true investment opportunity is an old scam still used today, often to entice the purchase of cryptocurrency with cash. As with all these potential scams, do your due diligence and confirm the legitimacy of the receiver and their details.

The best way to prevent money wire fraud is to stay up to date with the latest scams and trust your gut: Do not act until you have thoroughly researched the details.

Understanding the Equity Multiplier

Whether you are an investor, an owner, or an internal financial analyst, understanding how the equity multiplier works and how to interpret it is a helpful skill.

Defining the Equity Multiplier

The equity multiplier is a metric that tells the user what percentage of the company’s assets are loaned against shareholders’ equity. The smaller the calculated number for the equity multiplier, the less risky the financing is due to less debt owed by the company. It’s more favorable since there are lower debt servicing costs needed. When liabilities and/or assets change, the company’s equity multiplier changes.

Conversely, the bigger the equity multiplier, the more likely investors will be exposed to financial risk. This is due to the company having more outstanding debt, requiring more cash flows to service ongoing debt repayment, along with normal operations. A good rule of thumb is that anything lower than 2 is good, while anything higher than 2 signifies risk.

Putting It into Context

Since companies obtain financing through a mix of equity, debt, or both, it’s important to measure and monitor how the combination changes over time. Since investors look at the metric, among other financial yardsticks, it can influence how they determine if a company is worth investing in. Investors compare one company to others in the same industry and against historical measures to see how the company rates financially. The equity multiplier is measured relative to past measures, industry standards, or its sector competitors.

The ratio is calculated as follows:

Equity Multiplier = Total Assets / Total Shareholders’ Equity

Both input values are found on the company’s balance sheet, either on the quarterly or annual reports filed with the United States Securities and Exchange Commission.

If a company wants to go public, it can calculate this ratio to determine if its present results are robust for lenders’ review. Say a company has $2 million in total assets and $1.25 million in shareholders’ equity. Based on these numbers, it’s calculated as follows:

= $2,000,000 / $1,250,000 = 1.6

The equity multiplier in this scenario, which shows a moderate amount of borrowing, may or may not pose an issue for the company’s financial health.

If a business’ total assets are $450 billion, and shareholders’ equity, according to the financial statements, was $150 billion, the company’s ratio is 3X ($450 / $150).

If a different company’s assets are $825 billion with $165 billion of shareholders’ equity, the same resulting ratio is 5X ($825 / $165).

These calculations show that as the ratio of liabilities and asset values adjusts, the equity multiplier also changes because a company uses less debt and more shareholders’ equity to finance the assets. While higher equity multipliers can help companies grow faster, especially during low interest rate and high-growth environments, if borrowing costs rise and/or sales fall dramatically, it can forecast negative growth. Investors favor businesses with low equity multipliers since this indicates the company is using more equity and less debt to finance the purchase of assets.

Regardless of the company or the industry, understanding how the ratio is calculated and used in making investment decisions makes sense for both companies and their potential investors.

What to Expect from U.S. Tax Policy in 2026

After a whirlwind 2025 that produced what may be the largest tax bill in American history, the coming year looks dramatically different. Tax policy experts are predicting a legislative standstill, a turbulent tax filing season, and lingering questions about how new provisions will work when put into practice.

A Year of Legislative Gridlock

The forecast for 2026 tax legislation is bleak. With Republicans clinging to an impossibly thin House majority of just 218 or 219 seats following recent resignations, passing any significant bills will be extraordinarily difficult. Every single Republican vote would be needed to advance legislation through reconciliation, and as 2025 demonstrated, keeping the caucus unified is no small feat.

While there has been discussion about a potential second reconciliation bill, most observers view this as wishful thinking. If such a bill were to materialize, it would likely focus on technical corrections to lingering Tax Cuts and Jobs Act issues and problems that emerged from the One Big Beautiful Bill Act. One notable concern involves accelerated research credits that did not deliver the benefits lawmakers intended because of unexpected interactions with the corporate alternative minimum tax.

The more pressing concern will simply be keeping the government running. A January deadline looms to avoid another shutdown and, given the contentious relationship between House Republicans and Democrats throughout 2025, even basic funding bills face uncertain prospects. With midterm elections consuming attention in the second half of the year, legislative bandwidth for tax policy will be virtually nonexistent.

A Rough Road Ahead for Taxpayers

The 2026 tax filing season is shaping up to be challenging. The IRS has experienced unprecedented upheaval, losing somewhere between 20 percent and 25 percent of its workforce through a combination of voluntary resignations and reductions in force. Many of these departures came from enforcement divisions, though customer service will also feel the impact.

Leadership instability has compounded these problems. The agency cycled through roughly seven commissioners or acting commissioners in 2025 alone. Former Congressman Billy Long was confirmed as commissioner but lasted less than two months before departing under unclear circumstances. The Treasury Secretary has since taken direct oversight of the agency, and an IRS CEO position was created for the first time in the agency’s history. No new commissioner nominee has been put forward, and there is currently no Senate-confirmed chief counsel either.

For taxpayers who need more than basic return processing, this means longer wait times, fewer answered phone calls, and potential delays. Those filing straightforward W-2 returns seeking refunds will likely fare better than individuals or businesses with complicated situations requiring IRS assistance. Audit rates will decline intentionally, as the current administration has committed to scaling back the enforcement emphasis of the Biden years.

The Justice Department’s Tax Division also has been gutted, losing many qualified litigators who previously maintained an exceptional track record against large taxpayers in court. This erosion of enforcement capability may not immediately move voluntary compliance numbers, but continued cuts will eventually catch up with the system.

Unresolved International Questions

The relationship between U.S. tax policy and the global minimum tax framework under Pillar 2 remains unsettled. Republicans declined to include a retaliatory tax provision known as section 899 in last year’s legislation based on an agreement with G20 nations. If that agreement unravels, there may be pressure to revisit retaliatory measures, though passing such legislation with current House margins seems unlikely.

American companies operating internationally could face pressure in foreign jurisdictions if the United States fails to align with Pillar 2 requirements. While many in Washington believe the international minimum tax framework will collapse, the reality on the ground suggests otherwise, and this disconnect might force future legislative action.

Conclusion

The bottom line for 2026: expect a holding pattern on major tax legislation and brace for a difficult filing season as an understaffed and unsettled IRS works to implement last year’s massive changes.

Completing FY2026 Budget Appropriations, Protecting Trafficked Victims, and Vetoing Special Interest Projects

Commerce, Justice, Science; Energy and Water Development; and Interior and Environment Appropriations Act, 2026 (HR 6938) – This Act is one of the remaining budget bills to fund the government through Sept. 30, 2026. It includes funding for several agencies, including the Department of Commerce, the Department of Justice, the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, the Department of Energy, and the Environmental Protection Agency. The bill was introduced by Rep. Tom Cole (R-OK) on Jan. 6. It passed in the House on Jan. 8, the Senate on Jan. 15, and was signed into law on Jan. 23.

Financial Services and General Government and National Security, Department of State, and Related Programs Appropriations Act, 2026 (HR 7006) – This Act was introduced by Rep. Tom Cole (R-OK) on Jan. 12. Yet another fiscal year 2026 budget bill, it authorizes investments to support economic growth and entrepreneurship, safeguard American security and authorize funding for the Executive and Judicial branches. The bill passed in the House on Jan. 14 and is awaiting passage in the Senate.

Trafficking Survivors Relief Act (HR 4323) – The purpose of this bipartisan bill is to help stop a vicious cycle that makes human trafficking victims vulnerable to further exploitation. The Act enables survivors to file motions to vacate non-violent convictions and purge arrest records for certain criminal offenses committed as a direct result of being trafficked. The current iteration of the bill was introduced by Rep. Russell Fry (R-SC) on July 19, 2025. It cleared the House on Dec. 1, the Senate on Dec. 18, and was signed into law on Jan. 23.

Finish the Arkansas Valley Conduit Act (HR 131) – Introduced by Rep. Lauren Boebert (R-CO) on January 3, 2025, this bill is related to a Colorado water infrastructure pipeline currently under construction, designed to port clean water from the Pueblo Reservoir to 50,000 Coloradans in the local area. The bill would have extended the repayment period for local municipalities and removed interest payments. The bill passed in the House on July 21 and in the Senate on Dec. 16; it was vetoed by the President on Dec. 31, 2025.

Miccosukee Reserved Area Amendments Act (HR 504) – This bill would have authorized the expansion of the Miccosukee Reserved Area to include a portion of Everglades National Park in Florida. In recent years, the area, known as Osceola Camp, has been prone to flooding, and this bill would have authorized safeguard measures to protect structures within the camp. The bill was introduced on Jan. 16, 2025, by Rep. Carlos Gimenez (R-FL). It passed in the House on July 14 and in the Senate on Dec. 11, 2025. The bill was vetoed by the President on Dec. 30 and failed an override vote in the House on Jan. 8.

Whole Milk for Healthy Kids Act of 2025 (S 222) – This Act amends the existing National School Lunch Act to allow schools participating in the federal school lunch program to serve whole milk. It was introduced by Sen. Roger Marshall (R-KS) on Jan. 23, 2025, passed the Senate on Nov. 20, the House on Dec. 15 and was signed into law by the President on Jan. 14.

What Frictionless WebAR Means for Creators, Brands and Small Businesses

The way people interact with the web is changing fast. Attention spans are shorter, app fatigue is real, and users no longer want to download, sign up, or navigate complex interfaces just to engage with content. New technologies like frictionless web-based augmented reality (WebAR) are emerging as powerful solutions.

This shift opens great opportunities for creators, brands, and small businesses.

What is Frictionless WebAR?

Every extra step between a user and an experience reduces engagement. Downloading apps, dealing with permissions, updates, and onboarding screens all create friction. However, frictionless WebAR is delivered directly through a web browser. It uses web standards like WebXR and WebGL to deliver digital content without downloads or installations. With a shift in how value is created, communicated, and converted, it is possible to have interactive storytelling, experiential funnels, immersive education, and hyper-local marketing. All this is without the costs and complexity involved in traditional AR.

Transitioning from the attention economy to the experience economy has been driven by content overload from content, ads, and interfaces competing for clicks. As a result:

Users avoid downloading new apps
Click-through rates are declining
Trust is harder to build through a flat screen alone
Static content struggles to hold attention

Frictionless WebAR addresses these barriers.

Users can easily scan a QR code or tap a link and instantly see a product, explore a story in 3D form, or interact with information visually.

From a business perspective, the value lies in zero-friction entry, instant immersion, and seamless connection between physical and digital worlds. This is because WebAR does not require large development teams or app store approvals. It is lightweight, fast, and accessible. This makes it viable not only for big brands but also for solo creators and small businesses.

From Passive Content to Active Experiences

With most digital content, users scroll, read, watch, and move on. Frictionless WebAR is built to turn audiences into participants. Instead of reading about a product, users can see it in a 3D model. Instead of watching a story, they can step inside it. When audiences interact with something in their own environment:

Engagement time increases
Emotional connections deepen
Information is remembered longer
Purchase confidence improves

Practical Opportunities for Creators

For filmmakers, artists, game developers, and content creators, frictionless WebAR transforms static content into dynamic, interactive narratives. For instance, scanning a QR code in a physical comic book brings a character to life. This deepens immersion and extends the narrative beyond the printed book. Other examples include AR-enhanced portfolios that showcase work in 3D, behind-the-scenes experiences tied to a QR code, and interactive course previews.

Creators can also monetize WebAR by offering premium AR experiences, bundling AR with digital products, launching interactive experiences for sponsors, and enhancing membership or community access. This makes WebAR part of a creator’s intellectual property and not just a marketing tool.

Practical Opportunities for Brands

Brands leverage WebAR for immersive marketing. Experiential funnels leverage WebAR, allowing brands to engage customers in ways traditional advertising cannot. A good example is a brand launching a new shoe, and customers can scan a QR code on a poster and “try on” the virtual sneakers to see how they look in real time. Luxury brands can offer “virtual showroom” experiences with interactions that deepen the emotional connection.

The low-barrier interaction means higher engagement rates as potential customers are more likely to participate in an experience that doesn’t demand an app download or login.

Practical Opportunities for Small Businesses

Small businesses often struggle to compete with larger brands online. However, now they can access cost-effective WebAR without native app development. This equalizer offers sophisticated marketing and customer engagement tools without the need for a massive budget or IT team. This saves on resources and enables quick campaigns like seasonal promotions.

Since WebAR works through web browsers, a business can gain detailed analytics, such as user behavior. For instance, getting detailed data on dwell time or how long people engage in the experience can indicate how compelling the content is. Spatial analytics, on the other hand, measure how much time users spend on specific scenes, helping make necessary tweaks to optimize user experience. The data collected helps better understand customers and how they engage with content.

Conclusion

Frictionless WebAR represents a fundamental change in how value is delivered online. For creators, brands, and small businesses, it offers a way to stand out by inviting people into meaningful experiences.

In a crowded digital space, ease of access is a competitive advantage.

Passive Income 101

If you’re tired of the 9-to-5 grind, then passive income could be for you. While not a get-rich-quick scheme, it’s a way to build systems that contribute to financial stability and extra money. It can even support long-term goals like early retirement. Here’s a high-level look at what it is and how it works.

Types of Passive Income Sources

Investment Income
This includes individual stocks or mutual funds, interest payments from corporate bonds, or capital gains from selling securities at a profit. While they all involve risk, these types of investments can compound and grow over time.
Rental Income
Depending on where your property is, this could be a cash cow. The money you earn can cover the mortgage, taxes, maintenance, and other miscellaneous expenses. The best part? You could earn a sweet sum of money.
REITs and Crowdfunded Real Estate
REITs (real estate investment trusts) and crowdfunded real estate platforms allow you to invest in properties without having to buy them yourself. You earn net rental income in the form of dividends without the headache of managing the property. Not bad, right?
Business Income
You earn this money by not actually participating in the operations. For example, you might invest in a restaurant. Others run the daily business while you receive a percentage of the profits. Sweet.
Intellectual Property Royalties
Pen a book. Write a song. Create an online course. You’ll reap the rewards long after the work is completed.
High-Yield Savings Accounts
Yes, this might yield small returns, but it’s a great way to put your money to work.

What are the benefits? There are many.

Wealth Building
When you reinvest your dividends, save and invest your rental profits and royalties, you’ll steadily create a nest egg that will compound and grow, grow, grow.
Financial Freedom
While this type of capital building takes time, it can supplement, if not replace, your day job.
Time Flexibility
You don’t have to work on this revenue stream every day, which is the beauty of it. It clears up time for you to live your life.
Diversification
When you have more than one income source, it can act as somewhat of a safety net, should your main way of earning a living dry up.

Risks and Taxes

While passive income can and does build wealth, it’s not without risks. Markets may fluctuate. Property values might decrease. Companies that are part of third-party crowdfunding could shut down. You’ll also have to pay taxes, as you must report your earnings. Selling stocks or properties can trigger capital gains.

Passive income has pros and cons. Only you can decide how risk-averse or tolerant you are. If this type of investing is for you, the sooner you start, the sooner you’ll create financial security – and freedom.

Sources

https://www.crediful.com/what-is-passive-income/

What Seniors Actually Got in the Latest Tax Bill

Campaign messaging would have you believe retirees just scored a major victory. The talking point is everywhere: Social Security benefits are now tax-free. But anyone who reads the One Big Beautiful Bill Act will discover something different. The legislation contains nothing that removes Social Security from federal taxation. Zero provisions. The tax structure that has applied to benefits for over four decades remains fully intact.

So, what did pass? A new deduction aimed at older Americans. And through some rhetorical gymnastics, that deduction is being sold as something it fundamentally is not.

A Deduction Is Not an Exemption

The OBBBA creates an additional deduction exclusively for seniors. Single filers get $6,000 while married couples receive $12,000. This stacks on top of what they already claim through the standard deduction, lowering their overall taxable income.

For retirees whose financial situation falls in a particular range, this extra write-off might be enough to cancel out whatever portion of their Social Security would normally face taxation. But here’s the catch: the deduction applies to all income equally. It doesn’t single out retirement benefits for protection. If your earnings came entirely from investments or a workplace pension, the math would work identically.

Decades of Unchanged Rules

Federal taxation of Social Security benefits dates back to 1983. President Reagan signed that change with support from both parties, making up to half of benefits taxable for seniors with higher earnings. Then in 1993, Congress and President Clinton pushed the ceiling higher. Under current rules, as much as 85 percent of benefits can count toward taxable income for upper-income retirees.

None of that changed with this bill.

The thresholds determining who pays what have remained frozen since the Clinton era. Single filers earning under $25,000 and couples under $32,000 owe nothing on their benefits. Those in the middle tier face taxes on up to half. And couples bringing in more than $44,000 can see 85 percent of their Social Security added to their taxable total.

Because these cutoffs have never adjusted for inflation, more retirees get pulled into taxable categories every single year. The OBBBA leaves this problem completely unaddressed.

Looking at the Administration’s Own Math

Treasury Department calculations highlighted by the White House reveal how limited the benefit truly is. Picture a single retiree receiving $40,000 annually from Social Security alongside another $40,000 from retirement accounts like an IRA or 401(k). Current law would put their 2026 tax bill at $7,190. Under the new legislation, the amount drops to $5,685, a reduction of roughly $1,500. The senior deduction accounts for approximately $900 of those savings.

Helpful? Sure. But this person still owes thousands in federal taxes. Their Social Security benefits remain part of the calculation. The deduction simply chips away at overall liability without treating retirement benefits any differently than other income sources.

Temporary Relief with Built-In Limits

Unlike corporate tax provisions and cuts benefiting wealthy taxpayers, which received permanent status in the bill, the senior deduction disappears after 2028. It was written with an expiration date from the start.

Income limits further narrow who benefits. Single filers with earnings above $75,000 and married couples exceeding $150,000 see the deduction phase-out entirely. Ironically, these higher-earning retirees facing the steepest Social Security taxation are exactly the ones shut out from this supposed fix.

Conclusion and Why This Framing Succeeds

Announcing a supplemental deduction for older taxpayers generates little excitement. Declaring that Social Security taxation has ended makes waves. Political strategists understand that most people absorb information through headlines rather than legislative analysis. Few voters examine IRS guidance or compare statutory language.

The outcome is clever stagecraft masquerading as meaningful reform. Benefits remain taxable under the same formulas established decades ago. Inflation continues to drag more retirees across taxation thresholds, and this temporary, income-restricted deduction is merely wrapped in revolutionary packaging.

Defining An Activity Cost Driver

An activity cost driver is anything that causes a company’s variable costs to either reduce or grow. Since measuring an activity cost driver is a way to streamline the administration of managing production costs, it’s an integral part of activity-based costing.

Examples of activity-cost drivers are warehouse expenses, modifying engineering designs, and retooling, setup, and maintenance costs for machining needs. This can include higher warehouse expenses due to increased rents or leases, which add to the final amount of the product or service’s sales price. Machining costs include initial setups for initial production and ongoing maintenance costs for continued runs. If production needs to be re-engineered to different production parameters, those professional revision costs need to be added to the ultimate product or service cost calculations.

These cost drivers are used as a starting point to project the business’ operational and profitability goals through the use of activity-based costing (ABC), a type of managerial accounting.

ABC accounting is a way to determine the expenses of each output by looking at the inputs used during the company’s operations, be it power for the machinery, Information Technology (IT) needs, or labor.

It’s important to know that one variable expense can impact multiple single activity cost drivers. For example, wage costs and machining expenses can be identified as activity cost drivers in connection with production. The first step is looking at how ABC accounting can determine indirect costs.

Activity-Based Costing Illustration

A business wants to look at how its production space and its lease or real estate and property tax costs are attributable to individual widgets or services, based on the percentage dedicated to the respective product or service. If it’s not allocated properly, determining sales prices and profitability can be negatively impacted.

If a company has two product lines with the same retail prices and production quotas, with direct costs of $700 and $250, it’s important to see how the production area for each product impacts the company’s overall operations. If the first item uses 40 percent of the production area and the second item uses 60 percent of the production area, and the rent is $1,500, the rent needs to be factored in. The first item would see an additional cost of $600 plus the original $700, or a total of $1,300. The second item’s cost would be $900 for the rent and $250 for the item, or a total of $1,150. While the initial direct cost for the first item seems higher than the second item, when factoring in all costs, this time it’s still true – but that’s not always the case.

Once this has been established, and then a company receives a new order, the following illustrates how measuring an activity cost driver, such as performing maintenance on machines after a production run, will cost the company to have it ready for their next order. If it costs a company $200 for machine maintenance and it produces 1,000 widgets, a $0.20/widget cost would be factored into margins and retail pricing.

While this provides an overview of how activity cost drivers work, it is part of a comprehensive approach to how businesses measure their margins and ultimately profitability.

What Families Need to Know About the New Trump Accounts

American parents now have access to a completely new savings tool designed to give children a financial foundation for the future. Established through The One Big Beautiful Bill Act, these accounts carry the name of the current president and come with a unique set of rules that the IRS has just begun to clarify.

Who Can Open One?

Any minor holding a Social Security number who has not yet turned 18 by Dec. 31 of the current year meets the eligibility criteria. Getting started requires an authorized adult, typically a parent or legal guardian, to submit an application to the Treasury Department. Once processed, the government establishes the child’s account.

Free Money for Newborns

Families welcoming babies during a specific four-year window stand to benefit the most. American citizens born anytime from the start of 2025 through the end of 2028 qualify for a $1,000 federal deposit through a pilot initiative. This starter contribution sits outside all annual limits, meaning it will not reduce how much others can add later.

Billionaire Backing Adds More

Tech titan Michael Dell and his wife, Susan, have pledged $6.25 billion to boost these accounts further. Their generosity will provide an extra $250 to the first 25 million children meeting specific requirements. Kids must be no older than 10 and reside in areas where the median household income is under $150,000. Dell, who runs Dell Technologies as chairman and CEO, ranks 10th among America’s wealthiest individuals with a fortune estimated at $148.9 billion.

How Much Can Be Contributed Each Year?

The law caps annual contributions at $5,000, though this figure will rise with inflation over time. Grandparents, aunts, uncles, family friends, and parents can all put money in, but every dollar from these sources counts toward that yearly ceiling. Exceed the limit, and you will need to pull the excess back out.

Workplace benefits offer another channel. Companies can deposit as much as $2,500 annually into accounts belonging to workers or their children. While this money does apply toward the $5,000 threshold, employees will not owe taxes on these contributions.

Charitable organizations and government bodies at various levels have permission to fund these accounts through something called qualified general contributions. Unlike personal or employer deposits, this category of funding exists completely outside the annual cap.

Keep in mind that money coming from family members or friends provides no tax break. These contributions use after-tax dollars. Also worth noting: the earliest anyone can start funding these accounts is Independence Day 2026.

Strict Rules Govern Investments

Congress placed tight restrictions on where this money can go. Only mutual funds and ETFs tracking American stock market indexes qualify. These funds cannot employ any leverage strategies, and their annual expense ratios must not exceed one-tenth of one percent.

Accessing the Funds

Until reaching adulthood, account holders face severe limits on touching their money. The rules permit withdrawals only in narrow circumstances: transferring everything to a different Trump Account, correcting over-contributions, or closing the account following the child’s death.

Everything changes at 18. From that birthday forward, the account essentially transforms into something resembling a traditional IRA with comparable guidelines around distributions and taxation.

Filing Requirements

Establishing one of these accounts means completing Form 4547, which the IRS titled Trump Account Election. This document accompanies your annual 1040 filing and handles both account setup and pilot program enrollment. The form number itself contains a nod to history, combining 45 and 47 to reflect Trump’s elections as both the 45th and 47th commander in chief.

Conclusion and Official Resources

This new savings tool gives families an innovative avenue to save. Taxpayers seeking detailed information can review Notice 2025-68, which the IRS published to address questions about account creation, investment options, contribution types, distribution rules, and reporting obligations. Full regulations remain in development, with proposed rules expected before final versions emerge following public input. The government maintains a dedicated portal at trumpaccounts.gov for ongoing updates.

Certified Public Accountant

Category: Blog